How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Internacional, at 47.3%. The other outcomes represent 52.7% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 47.3% · Draw: 30.1% · Away win: 22.6%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Internacional 1833; Corinthians 1835. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 2–1. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #720 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Serie A · Wednesday, Oct 7 2026
· 22:30
Internacional
Elo 1833
2
-
1
Corinthians
Elo 1835
FT
HT 1-0
Home Form (5)
3W
0D
2L
Away Form (5)
0W
1D
4L
Elo Advantage
-2
H2H (6)
3H
0D
3A
Elo rating comparison
Internacional1833
Corinthians1835
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
3Internacional
0Draws
3Corinthians
6 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
47% conf.
CORRECT
Home
47%
@ 2.09
Draw
30%
@ 3.18
Away
23%
@ 3.51
Both Teams to Score
55% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
55%
@ 1.86
No
45%
Away Clean Sheet
85% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
15%
No
85%
Home Clean Sheet
66% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
34%
No
66%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
@ 1.28
No
25%
Double Chance X2
52% conf.
WRONG
Yes
52%
@ 1.69
No
48%
Half-Time Result
52% conf.
WRONG
Home
28%
@ 2.72
Draw
52%
@ 2.04
Away
20%
@ 4.12
HT Both Teams Score
84% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
16%
No
84%
HT Over 0.5
64% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
64%
@ 1.44
No
36%
HT Over 1.5
70% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
30%
No
70%
Over 1.5 Goals
70% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
70%
@ 1.35
No
30%
Over 2.5 Goals
50% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
50%
@ 2.15
No
50%
Over 3.5 Goals
86% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
14%
No
86%
Home Win to Nil
73% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
27%
No
73%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.