How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Sao Paulo, at 45.5%. The other outcomes represent 54.5% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 45.5% · Draw: 27.4% · Away win: 27.1%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Sao Paulo 1862; Santos 1890. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #720 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Serie A · Friday, Oct 2 2026
· 23:00
Sao Paulo
Elo 1862
vs
Santos
Elo 1890
Home Form (5)
2W
2D
1L
Away Form (5)
3W
2D
0L
Elo Advantage
-28
Elo rating comparison
Sao Paulo1862
Santos1890
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Sao Paulo
—Draws
—Santos
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
45% conf.
Home
45%
@ 2.02
Draw
27%
@ 3.34
Away
27%
@ 3.74
Both Teams to Score
51% conf.
Yes
51%
@ 1.89
No
49%
Away Clean Sheet
78% conf.
Yes
22%
No
78%
Home Clean Sheet
69% conf.
Yes
31%
No
69%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
Yes
75%
@ 1.27
No
25%
Double Chance X2
57% conf.
Yes
57%
@ 1.78
No
43%
Half-Time Result
52% conf.
Home
29%
@ 2.65
Draw
52%
@ 2.08
Away
18%
@ 4.23
HT Both Teams Score
85% conf.
Yes
15%
No
85%
HT Over 0.5
61% conf.
Yes
61%
@ 1.44
No
39%
HT Over 1.5
70% conf.
Yes
30%
No
70%
Over 1.5 Goals
66% conf.
Yes
66%
@ 1.37
No
34%
Over 2.5 Goals
50% conf.
Yes
50%
No
50%
Over 3.5 Goals
76% conf.
Yes
24%
No
76%
Home Win to Nil
78% conf.
Yes
22%
No
78%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
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No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.