How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Sao Paulo, at 45.7%. The other outcomes represent 54.3% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 45.7% · Draw: 25.4% · Away win: 28.8%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Sao Paulo 1867; Corinthians 1814. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Serie A · Thursday, Nov 5 2026
· 00:30
Sao Paulo
Elo 1867
vs
Corinthians
Elo 1814
Home Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Away Form (5)
3W
0D
2L
Elo Advantage
+53
H2H (2)
0H
0D
2A
Elo rating comparison
Sao Paulo1867
Corinthians1814
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Sao Paulo
0Draws
2Corinthians
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
46% conf.
Home
46%
Draw
25%
Away
29%
Both Teams to Score
53% conf.
Yes
53%
No
47%
Away Clean Sheet
82% conf.
Yes
18%
No
82%
Home Clean Sheet
71% conf.
Yes
29%
No
71%
Double Chance 1X
70% conf.
Yes
70%
No
30%
Double Chance X2
54% conf.
Yes
54%
No
46%
Half-Time Result
46% conf.
Home
33%
Draw
46%
Away
21%
HT Both Teams Score
84% conf.
Yes
16%
No
84%
HT Over 0.5
69% conf.
Yes
69%
No
31%
HT Over 1.5
68% conf.
Yes
32%
No
68%
Over 1.5 Goals
67% conf.
Yes
67%
No
33%
Over 2.5 Goals
55% conf.
Yes
45%
No
55%
Over 3.5 Goals
77% conf.
Yes
23%
No
77%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf.
Yes
26%
No
74%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.