How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Flamengo, at 77.6%. The other outcomes represent 22.4% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 77.6% · Draw: 15.6% · Away win: 6.7%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Flamengo 2102; Gremio 1812. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Serie A · Wednesday, Nov 4 2026
· 22:30
Flamengo
Elo 2102
vs
Gremio
Elo 1812
Home Form (5)
3W
2D
0L
Away Form (5)
1W
3D
1L
Elo Advantage
+290
H2H (2)
2H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Flamengo2102
Gremio1812
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
2Flamengo
0Draws
0Gremio
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
78% conf.
Home
78%
Draw
16%
Away
7%
Both Teams to Score
55% conf.
Yes
55%
No
45%
Away Clean Sheet
92% conf.
Yes
8%
No
92%
Home Clean Sheet
62% conf.
Yes
38%
No
62%
Double Chance 1X
97% conf.
Yes
97%
No
3%
Double Chance X2
72% conf.
Yes
28%
No
72%
Half-Time Result
51% conf.
Home
51%
Draw
39%
Away
10%
HT Both Teams Score
82% conf.
Yes
18%
No
82%
HT Over 0.5
75% conf.
Yes
75%
No
25%
HT Over 1.5
51% conf.
Yes
49%
No
51%
Over 1.5 Goals
84% conf.
Yes
84%
No
16%
Over 2.5 Goals
69% conf.
Yes
69%
No
31%
Over 3.5 Goals
53% conf.
Yes
47%
No
53%
Home Win to Nil
63% conf.
Yes
37%
No
63%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.