How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Santos, at 46.8%. The other outcomes represent 53.2% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 46.8% · Draw: 27.1% · Away win: 26%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Santos 1934; Bahia 1891. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–1. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Serie A · Sunday, Oct 25 2026
· 00:00
Santos
Elo 1934
1
-
1
Bahia
Elo 1891
FT
HT 0-1
Home Form (5)
2W
3D
0L
Away Form (5)
4W
1D
0L
Elo Advantage
+43
H2H (1)
0H
1D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Santos1934
Bahia1891
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Santos
1Draws
0Bahia
1 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
47% conf.
WRONG
Home
47%
Draw
27%
Away
26%
Both Teams to Score
60% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
60%
No
40%
Away Clean Sheet
81% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
19%
No
81%
Home Clean Sheet
71% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
29%
No
71%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
59% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
59%
No
41%
Half-Time Result
49% conf.
WRONG
Home
31%
Draw
49%
Away
19%
HT Both Teams Score
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
21%
No
79%
HT Over 0.5
69% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
69%
No
31%
HT Over 1.5
65% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
35%
No
65%
Over 1.5 Goals
76% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
76%
No
24%
Over 2.5 Goals
51% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
49%
No
51%
Over 3.5 Goals
73% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
27%
No
73%
Home Win to Nil
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
21%
No
79%
Recent results
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Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.