How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Remo, at 37.4%. The other outcomes represent 62.6% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 37.4% · Draw: 30.7% · Away win: 31.9%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Remo 1767; Gremio 1830. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–1. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #720 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Serie A · Wednesday, Oct 7 2026
· 22:30
Remo
Elo 1767
1
-
1
Gremio
Elo 1830
FT
HT 0-1
Home Form (5)
0W
2D
3L
Away Form (5)
2W
2D
1L
Elo Advantage
-63
H2H (1)
0H
1D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Remo1767
Gremio1830
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Remo
1Draws
0Gremio
1 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
37% conf.
WRONG
Home
37%
@ 2.18
Draw
31%
@ 3.33
Away
32%
@ 3.13
Both Teams to Score
53% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
53%
@ 1.70
No
47%
Away Clean Sheet
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
20%
No
80%
Home Clean Sheet
69% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
31%
No
69%
Double Chance 1X
65% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
65%
@ 1.34
No
35%
Double Chance X2
59% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
59%
@ 1.65
No
41%
Half-Time Result
49% conf.
WRONG
Home
26%
@ 2.73
Draw
49%
@ 2.15
Away
24%
@ 3.67
HT Both Teams Score
84% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
16%
No
84%
HT Over 0.5
67% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
67%
@ 1.35
No
33%
HT Over 1.5
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
22%
No
78%
Over 1.5 Goals
66% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
66%
@ 1.27
No
34%
Over 2.5 Goals
54% conf.
WRONG
Yes
54%
@ 1.90
No
46%
Over 3.5 Goals
86% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
14%
No
86%
Home Win to Nil
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
21%
No
79%
Recent results
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Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.