How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Vasco DA Gama, at 46.4%. The other outcomes represent 53.6% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 46.4% · Draw: 27.2% · Away win: 26.4%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Vasco DA Gama 1897; Corinthians 1819. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 3–2. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Serie A · Saturday, Oct 24 2026
· 21:30
Vasco DA Gama
Elo 1897
3
-
2
Corinthians
Elo 1819
FT
HT 1-0
Home Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Away Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Elo Advantage
+78
H2H (1)
0H
0D
1A
Elo rating comparison
Vasco DA Gama1897
Corinthians1819
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Vasco DA Gama
0Draws
1Corinthians
1 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
46% conf.
CORRECT
Home
46%
Draw
27%
Away
26%
Both Teams to Score
56% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
56%
No
44%
Away Clean Sheet
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
22%
No
78%
Home Clean Sheet
72% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
28%
No
72%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
57% conf.
WRONG
Yes
57%
No
43%
Half-Time Result
45% conf.
WRONG
Home
33%
Draw
45%
Away
22%
HT Both Teams Score
81% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
19%
No
81%
HT Over 0.5
69% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
69%
No
31%
HT Over 1.5
68% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
32%
No
68%
Over 1.5 Goals
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
74%
No
26%
Over 2.5 Goals
51% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
51%
No
49%
Over 3.5 Goals
75% conf.
WRONG
Yes
25%
No
75%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
Recent results
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Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.