How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Atletico-MG, at 45.9%. The other outcomes represent 54.1% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 45.9% · Draw: 28.5% · Away win: 25.6%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Atletico-MG 1922; RB Bragantino 1877. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #720 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Serie A · Saturday, Oct 3 2026
· 21:30
Atletico-MG
Elo 1922
vs
RB Bragantino
Elo 1877
Home Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Away Form (5)
1W
1D
3L
Elo Advantage
+46
H2H (8)
3H
4D
1A
Elo rating comparison
Atletico-MG1922
RB Bragantino1877
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
3Atletico-MG
4Draws
1RB Bragantino
8 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
46% conf.
Home
46%
@ 2.14
Draw
28%
@ 3.31
Away
26%
@ 3.39
Both Teams to Score
57% conf.
Yes
57%
@ 1.86
No
43%
Away Clean Sheet
80% conf.
Yes
20%
No
80%
Home Clean Sheet
69% conf.
Yes
31%
No
69%
Double Chance 1X
65% conf.
Yes
65%
@ 1.31
No
35%
Double Chance X2
61% conf.
Yes
61%
@ 1.68
No
39%
Half-Time Result
55% conf.
Home
26%
@ 2.76
Draw
55%
@ 2.09
Away
19%
@ 3.91
HT Both Teams Score
85% conf.
Yes
15%
No
85%
HT Over 0.5
66% conf.
Yes
66%
@ 1.43
No
34%
HT Over 1.5
65% conf.
Yes
35%
No
65%
Over 1.5 Goals
73% conf.
Yes
73%
@ 1.36
No
27%
Over 2.5 Goals
55% conf.
Yes
55%
@ 2.11
No
45%
Over 3.5 Goals
69% conf.
Yes
31%
No
69%
Home Win to Nil
79% conf.
Yes
21%
No
79%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.