How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is RB Bragantino, at 49.8%. The other outcomes represent 50.2% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 49.8% · Draw: 29% · Away win: 21.2%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: RB Bragantino 1861; Mirassol 1882. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–1. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #720 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Serie A · Wednesday, Oct 7 2026
· 22:30
RB Bragantino
Elo 1861
1
-
1
Mirassol
Elo 1882
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Away Form (5)
4W
1D
0L
Elo Advantage
-20
H2H (4)
1H
1D
2A
Elo rating comparison
RB Bragantino1861
Mirassol1882
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
1RB Bragantino
1Draws
2Mirassol
4 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
50% conf.
WRONG
Home
50%
@ 1.77
Draw
29%
@ 3.62
Away
21%
@ 4.30
Both Teams to Score
54% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
54%
@ 1.73
No
46%
Away Clean Sheet
84% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
16%
No
84%
Home Clean Sheet
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
37%
No
63%
Double Chance 1X
84% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
84%
@ 1.20
No
16%
Double Chance X2
56% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
56%
@ 1.98
No
44%
Half-Time Result
47% conf.
CORRECT
Home
33%
@ 2.33
Draw
47%
@ 2.20
Away
19%
@ 4.56
HT Both Teams Score
76% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
24%
No
76%
HT Over 0.5
70% conf.
WRONG
Yes
70%
@ 1.34
No
30%
HT Over 1.5
69% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
31%
No
69%
Over 1.5 Goals
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
@ 1.25
No
25%
Over 2.5 Goals
50% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
50%
No
50%
Over 3.5 Goals
69% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
31%
No
69%
Home Win to Nil
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
37%
No
63%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.