How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Stromsgodset, at 41.2%. The other outcomes represent 58.8% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 32.3% · Draw: 26.6% · Away win: 41.2%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Stabaek 1878; Stromsgodset 1932. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
1. Division · Sunday, Nov 8 2026
· 12:00
Stabaek
Elo 1878
vs
Stromsgodset
Elo 1932
Home Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Away Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Elo Advantage
-54
H2H (5)
0H
5D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Stabaek1878
Stromsgodset1932
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Stabaek
5Draws
0Stromsgodset
5 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
41% conf.
Home
32%
Draw
27%
Away
41%
Both Teams to Score
55% conf.
Yes
55%
No
45%
Away Clean Sheet
72% conf.
Yes
28%
No
72%
Home Clean Sheet
80% conf.
Yes
20%
No
80%
Double Chance 1X
53% conf.
Yes
53%
No
47%
Double Chance X2
70% conf.
Yes
70%
No
30%
Half-Time Result
37% conf.
Home
27%
Draw
37%
Away
36%
HT Both Teams Score
77% conf.
Yes
23%
No
77%
HT Over 0.5
76% conf.
Yes
76%
No
24%
HT Over 1.5
60% conf.
Yes
40%
No
60%
Over 1.5 Goals
86% conf.
Yes
86%
No
14%
Over 2.5 Goals
60% conf.
Yes
60%
No
40%
Over 3.5 Goals
63% conf.
Yes
37%
No
63%
Home Win to Nil
83% conf.
Yes
17%
No
83%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.