How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Stromsgodset, at 72.4%. The other outcomes represent 27.6% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 72.4% · Draw: 15.5% · Away win: 12.1%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Stromsgodset 1882; Asane 1626. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
1. Division · Saturday, Oct 3 2026
· 14:00
Stromsgodset
Elo 1882
vs
Asane
Elo 1626
Home Form (5)
1W
2D
2L
Away Form (5)
0W
4D
1L
Elo Advantage
+256
H2H (2)
2H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Stromsgodset1882
Asane1626
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
2Stromsgodset
0Draws
0Asane
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
72% conf.
Home
72%
Draw
15%
Away
12%
Both Teams to Score
71% conf.
Yes
71%
No
29%
Away Clean Sheet
92% conf.
Yes
8%
No
92%
Home Clean Sheet
72% conf.
Yes
28%
No
72%
Double Chance 1X
93% conf.
Yes
93%
No
7%
Double Chance X2
70% conf.
Yes
30%
No
70%
Half-Time Result
55% conf.
Home
55%
Draw
33%
Away
12%
HT Both Teams Score
73% conf.
Yes
27%
No
73%
HT Over 0.5
82% conf.
Yes
82%
No
18%
HT Over 1.5
50% conf.
Yes
50%
No
50%
Over 1.5 Goals
88% conf.
Yes
88%
No
12%
Over 2.5 Goals
69% conf.
Yes
69%
No
31%
Over 3.5 Goals
50% conf.
Yes
50%
No
50%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf.
Yes
26%
No
74%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.