How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Stromsgodset, at 63.9%. The other outcomes represent 36.1% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 21.2% · Draw: 14.9% · Away win: 63.9%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Strommen 1736; Stromsgodset 1956. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–0. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
1. Division · Sunday, Oct 25 2026
· 12:00
Strommen
Elo 1736
1
-
0
Stromsgodset
Elo 1956
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Away Form (5)
2W
2D
1L
Elo Advantage
-220
H2H (2)
0H
0D
2A
Elo rating comparison
Strommen1736
Stromsgodset1956
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Strommen
0Draws
2Stromsgodset
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
64% conf.
WRONG
Home
21%
Draw
15%
Away
64%
Both Teams to Score
63% conf.
WRONG
Yes
63%
No
37%
Away Clean Sheet
69% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
31%
No
69%
Home Clean Sheet
88% conf.
WRONG
Yes
12%
No
88%
Double Chance 1X
56% conf.
WRONG
Yes
44%
No
56%
Double Chance X2
80% conf.
WRONG
Yes
80%
No
20%
Half-Time Result
41% conf.
WRONG
Home
19%
Draw
40%
Away
41%
HT Both Teams Score
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
22%
No
78%
HT Over 0.5
75% conf.
WRONG
Yes
75%
No
25%
HT Over 1.5
53% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
47%
No
53%
Over 1.5 Goals
81% conf.
WRONG
Yes
81%
No
19%
Over 2.5 Goals
63% conf.
WRONG
Yes
63%
No
37%
Over 3.5 Goals
58% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
42%
No
58%
Home Win to Nil
97% conf.
WRONG
Yes
3%
No
97%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.