How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Haugesund, at 46.3%. The other outcomes represent 53.7% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 46.3% · Draw: 23.8% · Away win: 29.8%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Haugesund 1873; Stabaek 1907. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
1. Division · Saturday, Oct 3 2026
· 14:00
Haugesund
Elo 1873
vs
Stabaek
Elo 1907
Home Form (5)
1W
1D
3L
Away Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Elo Advantage
-35
H2H (2)
0H
0D
2A
Elo rating comparison
Haugesund1873
Stabaek1907
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Haugesund
0Draws
2Stabaek
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
46% conf.
Home
46%
Draw
24%
Away
30%
Both Teams to Score
67% conf.
Yes
67%
No
33%
Away Clean Sheet
80% conf.
Yes
20%
No
80%
Home Clean Sheet
77% conf.
Yes
23%
No
77%
Double Chance 1X
64% conf.
Yes
64%
No
36%
Double Chance X2
55% conf.
Yes
55%
No
45%
Half-Time Result
41% conf.
Home
33%
Draw
41%
Away
25%
HT Both Teams Score
69% conf.
Yes
31%
No
69%
HT Over 0.5
77% conf.
Yes
77%
No
23%
HT Over 1.5
50% conf.
Yes
50%
No
50%
Over 1.5 Goals
82% conf.
Yes
82%
No
18%
Over 2.5 Goals
66% conf.
Yes
66%
No
34%
Over 3.5 Goals
58% conf.
Yes
42%
No
58%
Home Win to Nil
83% conf.
Yes
17%
No
83%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.