How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Sogndal, at 49.9%. The other outcomes represent 50.1% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 49.9% · Draw: 24% · Away win: 26.1%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Sogndal 1689; Raufoss 1653. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
1. Division · Saturday, Oct 3 2026
· 14:00
Sogndal
Elo 1689
vs
Raufoss
Elo 1653
Home Form (5)
2W
0D
3L
Away Form (5)
1W
0D
4L
Elo Advantage
+36
H2H (4)
0H
2D
2A
Elo rating comparison
Sogndal1689
Raufoss1653
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Sogndal
2Draws
2Raufoss
4 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
50% conf.
Home
50%
Draw
24%
Away
26%
Both Teams to Score
65% conf.
Yes
65%
No
35%
Away Clean Sheet
83% conf.
Yes
17%
No
83%
Home Clean Sheet
73% conf.
Yes
27%
No
73%
Double Chance 1X
65% conf.
Yes
65%
No
35%
Double Chance X2
52% conf.
Yes
48%
No
52%
Half-Time Result
43% conf.
Home
43%
Draw
31%
Away
26%
HT Both Teams Score
74% conf.
Yes
26%
No
74%
HT Over 0.5
79% conf.
Yes
79%
No
21%
HT Over 1.5
56% conf.
Yes
44%
No
56%
Over 1.5 Goals
88% conf.
Yes
88%
No
12%
Over 2.5 Goals
68% conf.
Yes
68%
No
32%
Over 3.5 Goals
51% conf.
Yes
49%
No
51%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf.
Yes
26%
No
74%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.