How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Kongsvinger, at 54.8%. The other outcomes represent 45.2% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 25.4% · Draw: 19.8% · Away win: 54.8%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Moss 1652; Kongsvinger 1932. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
1. Division · Monday, Oct 5 2026
· 17:00
Moss
Elo 1652
vs
Kongsvinger
Elo 1932
Home Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Away Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Elo Advantage
-280
H2H (2)
0H
0D
2A
Elo rating comparison
Moss1652
Kongsvinger1932
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Moss
0Draws
2Kongsvinger
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
55% conf.
Home
25%
Draw
20%
Away
55%
Both Teams to Score
68% conf.
Yes
68%
No
32%
Away Clean Sheet
72% conf.
Yes
28%
No
72%
Home Clean Sheet
89% conf.
Yes
11%
No
89%
Double Chance 1X
56% conf.
Yes
44%
No
56%
Double Chance X2
75% conf.
Yes
75%
No
25%
Half-Time Result
40% conf.
Home
25%
Draw
34%
Away
40%
HT Both Teams Score
69% conf.
Yes
31%
No
69%
HT Over 0.5
79% conf.
Yes
79%
No
21%
HT Over 1.5
54% conf.
Yes
54%
No
46%
Over 1.5 Goals
89% conf.
Yes
89%
No
11%
Over 2.5 Goals
69% conf.
Yes
69%
No
31%
Over 3.5 Goals
52% conf.
Yes
48%
No
52%
Home Win to Nil
97% conf.
Yes
3%
No
97%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.