Djurgardens IF vs Orgryte IS

Allsvenskan · Saturday, 24 Oct 2026 · 15:30

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Statistical match analysis

In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Djurgardens IF, at 67.9%. The other outcomes represent 32.1% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.

Home win: 67.9% · Draw: 19.7% · Away win: 12.4%.

Elo strength available for this analysis: Djurgardens IF 2093; Orgryte IS 1776. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.

90-minute result: 2–2. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.

Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.

Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.

Allsvenskan · Saturday, Oct 24 2026 · 15:30
Djurgardens IF
Elo 2093
2 - 2
Orgryte IS
Elo 1776
FT HT 1-0
Home Form (5)
2W 0D 3L
Away Form (5)
1W 2D 2L
Elo Advantage
+317
H2H (2)
0H 2D 0A

Elo rating comparison

Djurgardens IF2093
Orgryte IS1776

A measure of relative team strength before the match.

Head-to-head history

0Djurgardens IF
2Draws
0Orgryte IS

2 historical meetings in the model

Predictions

14 markets
Match Result
68% conf. WRONG
Home
68%
Draw
20%
Away
12%
Both Teams to Score
53% conf. CORRECT
Yes
53%
No
47%
Away Clean Sheet
89% conf. CORRECT
Yes
11%
No
89%
Home Clean Sheet
57% conf. CORRECT
Yes
43%
No
57%
Double Chance 1X
85% conf. CORRECT
Yes
85%
No
15%
Double Chance X2
67% conf. WRONG
Yes
33%
No
67%
Half-Time Result
50% conf. CORRECT
Home
50%
Draw
38%
Away
12%
HT Both Teams Score
83% conf. CORRECT
Yes
17%
No
83%
HT Over 0.5
74% conf. CORRECT
Yes
74%
No
26%
HT Over 1.5
58% conf. CORRECT
Yes
42%
No
58%
Over 1.5 Goals
80% conf. CORRECT
Yes
80%
No
20%
Over 2.5 Goals
56% conf. CORRECT
Yes
56%
No
44%
Over 3.5 Goals
70% conf. WRONG
Yes
30%
No
70%
Home Win to Nil
59% conf. CORRECT
Yes
41%
No
59%

How to read these predictions

Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.

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Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?

Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.

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No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.

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