How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is BK Hacken, at 55.8%. The other outcomes represent 44.2% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 55.8% · Draw: 20.2% · Away win: 23.9%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: BK Hacken 1993; Degerfors IF 1814. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 4–0. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Allsvenskan · Saturday, Oct 24 2026
· 13:00
BK Hacken
Elo 1993
4
-
0
Degerfors IF
Elo 1814
FT
HT 4-0
Home Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Away Form (5)
1W
0D
4L
Elo Advantage
+179
H2H (2)
0H
2D
0A
Elo rating comparison
BK Hacken1993
Degerfors IF1814
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0BK Hacken
2Draws
0Degerfors IF
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
56% conf.
CORRECT
Home
56%
Draw
20%
Away
24%
Both Teams to Score
51% conf.
WRONG
Yes
51%
No
49%
Away Clean Sheet
84% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
16%
No
84%
Home Clean Sheet
64% conf.
WRONG
Yes
36%
No
64%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
60% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
40%
No
60%
Half-Time Result
47% conf.
CORRECT
Home
47%
Draw
36%
Away
17%
HT Both Teams Score
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
20%
No
80%
HT Over 0.5
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
74%
No
26%
HT Over 1.5
63% conf.
WRONG
Yes
37%
No
63%
Over 1.5 Goals
73% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
73%
No
27%
Over 2.5 Goals
58% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
58%
No
42%
Over 3.5 Goals
69% conf.
WRONG
Yes
31%
No
69%
Home Win to Nil
63% conf.
WRONG
Yes
37%
No
63%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.