How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Gais, at 40.2%. The other outcomes represent 59.8% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 40.2% · Draw: 24.2% · Away win: 35.5%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Gais 1994; Sirius 2045. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Allsvenskan · Saturday, Oct 10 2026
· 13:00
Gais
Elo 1994
vs
Sirius
Elo 2045
Home Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Away Form (5)
4W
1D
0L
Elo Advantage
-51
H2H (2)
0H
0D
2A
Elo rating comparison
Gais1994
Sirius2045
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Gais
0Draws
2Sirius
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
40% conf.
Home
40%
Draw
24%
Away
36%
Both Teams to Score
54% conf.
Yes
46%
No
54%
Away Clean Sheet
70% conf.
Yes
30%
No
70%
Home Clean Sheet
70% conf.
Yes
30%
No
70%
Double Chance 1X
60% conf.
Yes
60%
No
40%
Double Chance X2
60% conf.
Yes
60%
No
40%
Half-Time Result
41% conf.
Home
33%
Draw
41%
Away
26%
HT Both Teams Score
80% conf.
Yes
20%
No
80%
HT Over 0.5
72% conf.
Yes
72%
No
28%
HT Over 1.5
67% conf.
Yes
33%
No
67%
Over 1.5 Goals
77% conf.
Yes
77%
No
23%
Over 2.5 Goals
51% conf.
Yes
51%
No
49%
Over 3.5 Goals
80% conf.
Yes
20%
No
80%
Home Win to Nil
79% conf.
Yes
21%
No
79%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.