How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Rosario Central, at 41.8%. The other outcomes represent 58.2% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 27.8% · Draw: 30.4% · Away win: 41.8%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Banfield 1645; Rosario Central 1849. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–1. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #720 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Liga Profesional Argentina · Tuesday, Oct 6 2026
· 00:15
Banfield
Elo 1645
1
-
1
Rosario Central
Elo 1849
FT
HT 1-0
Home Form (5)
0W
2D
3L
Away Form (5)
1W
2D
2L
Elo Advantage
-204
H2H (2)
0H
0D
2A
Elo rating comparison
Banfield1645
Rosario Central1849
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Banfield
0Draws
2Rosario Central
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
42% conf.
WRONG
Home
28%
@ 4.18
Draw
30%
@ 3.27
Away
42%
@ 1.93
Both Teams to Score
55% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
55%
@ 1.96
No
45%
Away Clean Sheet
59% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
41%
No
59%
Home Clean Sheet
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
21%
No
79%
Double Chance 1X
50% conf.
WRONG
Yes
50%
No
50%
Double Chance X2
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
79%
@ 1.22
No
21%
Half-Time Result
55% conf.
WRONG
Home
17%
@ 4.76
Draw
55%
@ 2.01
Away
28%
@ 2.60
HT Both Teams Score
81% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
19%
No
81%
HT Over 0.5
61% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
61%
@ 1.46
No
39%
HT Over 1.5
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
25%
No
75%
Over 1.5 Goals
69% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
69%
@ 1.38
No
31%
Over 2.5 Goals
50% conf.
WRONG
Yes
50%
@ 2.22
No
50%
Over 3.5 Goals
86% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
14%
No
86%
Home Win to Nil
89% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
11%
No
89%
Recent results
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Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.