How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Defensa Y Justicia, at 43.0%. The other outcomes represent 57.0% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 43% · Draw: 29.3% · Away win: 27.7%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Defensa Y Justicia 1692; San Lorenzo 1692. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Liga Profesional Argentina · Saturday, Oct 3 2026
· 17:45
Defensa Y Justicia
Elo 1692
vs
San Lorenzo
Elo 1692
Home Form (5)
2W
2D
1L
Away Form (5)
2W
2D
1L
Elo Advantage
-0
H2H (2)
2H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Defensa Y Justicia1692
San Lorenzo1692
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
2Defensa Y Justicia
0Draws
0San Lorenzo
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
43% conf.
Home
43%
Draw
29%
Away
28%
Both Teams to Score
52% conf.
Yes
52%
No
48%
Away Clean Sheet
75% conf.
Yes
25%
No
75%
Home Clean Sheet
67% conf.
Yes
33%
No
67%
Double Chance 1X
65% conf.
Yes
65%
No
35%
Double Chance X2
56% conf.
Yes
56%
No
44%
Half-Time Result
46% conf.
Home
34%
Draw
46%
Away
20%
HT Both Teams Score
84% conf.
Yes
16%
No
84%
HT Over 0.5
66% conf.
Yes
66%
No
34%
HT Over 1.5
76% conf.
Yes
24%
No
76%
Over 1.5 Goals
72% conf.
Yes
72%
No
28%
Over 2.5 Goals
59% conf.
Yes
41%
No
59%
Over 3.5 Goals
83% conf.
Yes
17%
No
83%
Home Win to Nil
79% conf.
Yes
21%
No
79%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
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No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.