How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Lanus, at 39.8%. The other outcomes represent 60.2% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 32% · Draw: 28.2% · Away win: 39.8%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Newells Old Boys 1671; Lanus 1768. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Liga Profesional Argentina · Saturday, Oct 3 2026
· 20:00
Newells Old Boys
Elo 1671
vs
Lanus
Elo 1768
Home Form (5)
2W
3D
0L
Away Form (5)
4W
0D
1L
Elo Advantage
-97
H2H (2)
0H
0D
2A
Elo rating comparison
Newells Old Boys1671
Lanus1768
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Newells Old Boys
0Draws
2Lanus
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
40% conf.
Home
32%
Draw
28%
Away
40%
Both Teams to Score
50% conf.
Yes
50%
No
50%
Away Clean Sheet
63% conf.
Yes
37%
No
63%
Home Clean Sheet
74% conf.
Yes
26%
No
74%
Double Chance 1X
59% conf.
Yes
59%
No
41%
Double Chance X2
68% conf.
Yes
68%
No
32%
Half-Time Result
44% conf.
Home
30%
Draw
44%
Away
26%
HT Both Teams Score
83% conf.
Yes
17%
No
83%
HT Over 0.5
64% conf.
Yes
64%
No
36%
HT Over 1.5
74% conf.
Yes
26%
No
74%
Over 1.5 Goals
69% conf.
Yes
69%
No
31%
Over 2.5 Goals
55% conf.
Yes
45%
No
55%
Over 3.5 Goals
81% conf.
Yes
19%
No
81%
Home Win to Nil
79% conf.
Yes
21%
No
79%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.