How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Velez Sarsfield, at 67.1%. The other outcomes represent 32.9% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 67.1% · Draw: 21.5% · Away win: 11.4%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Velez Sarsfield 1822; Platense 1670. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Liga Profesional Argentina · Monday, Oct 5 2026
· 22:00
Velez Sarsfield
Elo 1822
vs
Platense
Elo 1670
Home Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Away Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Elo Advantage
+152
H2H (2)
2H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Velez Sarsfield1822
Platense1670
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
2Velez Sarsfield
0Draws
0Platense
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
67% conf.
Home
67%
Draw
21%
Away
11%
Both Teams to Score
50% conf.
Yes
50%
No
50%
Away Clean Sheet
83% conf.
Yes
17%
No
83%
Home Clean Sheet
57% conf.
Yes
43%
No
57%
Double Chance 1X
93% conf.
Yes
93%
No
7%
Double Chance X2
65% conf.
Yes
35%
No
65%
Half-Time Result
49% conf.
Home
38%
Draw
49%
Away
12%
HT Both Teams Score
82% conf.
Yes
18%
No
82%
HT Over 0.5
63% conf.
Yes
63%
No
37%
HT Over 1.5
72% conf.
Yes
28%
No
72%
Over 1.5 Goals
68% conf.
Yes
68%
No
32%
Over 2.5 Goals
53% conf.
Yes
47%
No
53%
Over 3.5 Goals
81% conf.
Yes
19%
No
81%
Home Win to Nil
63% conf.
Yes
37%
No
63%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.