How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Lanus, at 43.5%. The other outcomes represent 56.5% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 29.8% · Draw: 26.7% · Away win: 43.5%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Banfield 1655; Lanus 1798. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–1. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Liga Profesional Argentina · Saturday, Oct 24 2026
· 17:45
Banfield
Elo 1655
1
-
1
Lanus
Elo 1798
FT
HT 1-0
Home Form (5)
0W
2D
3L
Away Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Elo Advantage
-143
H2H (2)
0H
0D
2A
Elo rating comparison
Banfield1655
Lanus1798
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Banfield
0Draws
2Lanus
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
44% conf.
WRONG
Home
30%
Draw
27%
Away
44%
Both Teams to Score
55% conf.
WRONG
Yes
45%
No
55%
Away Clean Sheet
60% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
40%
No
60%
Home Clean Sheet
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
Double Chance 1X
53% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
53%
No
47%
Double Chance X2
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
74%
No
26%
Half-Time Result
46% conf.
WRONG
Home
19%
Draw
46%
Away
35%
HT Both Teams Score
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
17%
No
83%
HT Over 0.5
64% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
64%
No
36%
HT Over 1.5
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
Over 1.5 Goals
60% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
60%
No
40%
Over 2.5 Goals
55% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
45%
No
55%
Over 3.5 Goals
81% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
19%
No
81%
Home Win to Nil
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
17%
No
83%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.