How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is River Plate, at 57.9%. The other outcomes represent 42.1% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 57.9% · Draw: 25.6% · Away win: 16.5%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: River Plate 1863; Racing Club 1760. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–0. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Liga Profesional Argentina · Sunday, Oct 25 2026
· 22:15
River Plate
Elo 1863
1
-
0
Racing Club
Elo 1760
FT
HT 1-0
Home Form (5)
3W
0D
2L
Away Form (5)
3W
0D
2L
Elo Advantage
+102
H2H (2)
2H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
River Plate1863
Racing Club1760
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
2River Plate
0Draws
0Racing Club
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
58% conf.
CORRECT
Home
58%
Draw
26%
Away
17%
Both Teams to Score
60% conf.
WRONG
Yes
60%
No
40%
Away Clean Sheet
85% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
15%
No
85%
Home Clean Sheet
67% conf.
WRONG
Yes
33%
No
67%
Double Chance 1X
84% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
84%
No
16%
Double Chance X2
57% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
43%
No
57%
Half-Time Result
45% conf.
WRONG
Home
39%
Draw
45%
Away
16%
HT Both Teams Score
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
22%
No
78%
HT Over 0.5
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
No
25%
HT Over 1.5
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
37%
No
63%
Over 1.5 Goals
74% conf.
WRONG
Yes
74%
No
26%
Over 2.5 Goals
56% conf.
WRONG
Yes
56%
No
44%
Over 3.5 Goals
71% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
29%
No
71%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf.
WRONG
Yes
26%
No
74%
Recent results
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Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.