How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is San Lorenzo, at 41.2%. The other outcomes represent 58.8% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 41.2% · Draw: 30.5% · Away win: 28.2%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: San Lorenzo 1705; Newells Old Boys 1679. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 0–0. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Liga Profesional Argentina · Saturday, Oct 24 2026
· 22:15
San Lorenzo
Elo 1705
0
-
0
Newells Old Boys
Elo 1679
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Away Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Elo Advantage
+26
H2H (2)
0H
2D
0A
Elo rating comparison
San Lorenzo1705
Newells Old Boys1679
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0San Lorenzo
2Draws
0Newells Old Boys
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
41% conf.
WRONG
Home
41%
Draw
31%
Away
28%
Both Teams to Score
57% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
43%
No
57%
Away Clean Sheet
66% conf.
WRONG
Yes
34%
No
66%
Home Clean Sheet
61% conf.
WRONG
Yes
39%
No
61%
Double Chance 1X
65% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
65%
No
35%
Double Chance X2
52% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
52%
No
48%
Half-Time Result
52% conf.
CORRECT
Home
30%
Draw
52%
Away
18%
HT Both Teams Score
85% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
15%
No
85%
HT Over 0.5
58% conf.
WRONG
Yes
58%
No
42%
HT Over 1.5
76% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
24%
No
76%
Over 1.5 Goals
53% conf.
WRONG
Yes
53%
No
47%
Over 2.5 Goals
60% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
40%
No
60%
Over 3.5 Goals
84% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
16%
No
84%
Home Win to Nil
64% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
36%
No
64%
Recent results
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Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.