Sarmiento Junin vs Rosario Central

Liga Profesional Argentina · Saturday, 31 Oct 2026 · 00:15

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Statistical match analysis

In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Rosario Central, at 43.8%. The other outcomes represent 56.2% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.

Home win: 27.6% · Draw: 28.6% · Away win: 43.8%.

Elo strength available for this analysis: Sarmiento Junin 1679; Rosario Central 1882. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.

Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.

Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.

Liga Profesional Argentina · Saturday, Oct 31 2026 · 00:15
Sarmiento Junin
Elo 1679
vs
Rosario Central
Elo 1882
Home Form (5)
1W 2D 2L
Away Form (5)
3W 1D 1L
Elo Advantage
-203
H2H (2)
0H 0D 2A

Elo rating comparison

Sarmiento Junin1679
Rosario Central1882

A measure of relative team strength before the match.

Head-to-head history

0Sarmiento Junin
0Draws
2Rosario Central

2 historical meetings in the model

Predictions

14 markets
Match Result
44% conf.
Home
28%
Draw
29%
Away
44%
Both Teams to Score
53% conf.
Yes
53%
No
47%
Away Clean Sheet
60% conf.
Yes
40%
No
60%
Home Clean Sheet
80% conf.
Yes
20%
No
80%
Double Chance 1X
53% conf.
Yes
53%
No
47%
Double Chance X2
75% conf.
Yes
75%
No
25%
Half-Time Result
42% conf.
Home
20%
Draw
39%
Away
42%
HT Both Teams Score
82% conf.
Yes
18%
No
82%
HT Over 0.5
71% conf.
Yes
71%
No
29%
HT Over 1.5
62% conf.
Yes
38%
No
62%
Over 1.5 Goals
76% conf.
Yes
76%
No
24%
Over 2.5 Goals
54% conf.
Yes
54%
No
46%
Over 3.5 Goals
78% conf.
Yes
22%
No
78%
Home Win to Nil
88% conf.
Yes
12%
No
88%

How to read these predictions

Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.

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Recent results

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Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?

Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.

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No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.

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