How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Velez Sarsfield, at 62.0%. The other outcomes represent 38.0% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 62% · Draw: 22.3% · Away win: 15.6%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Velez Sarsfield 1831; San Lorenzo 1701. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Liga Profesional Argentina · Saturday, Oct 31 2026
· 22:15
Velez Sarsfield
Elo 1831
vs
San Lorenzo
Elo 1701
Home Form (5)
4W
1D
0L
Away Form (5)
2W
2D
1L
Elo Advantage
+130
H2H (2)
0H
2D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Velez Sarsfield1831
San Lorenzo1701
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Velez Sarsfield
2Draws
0San Lorenzo
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
62% conf.
Home
62%
Draw
22%
Away
16%
Both Teams to Score
53% conf.
Yes
47%
No
53%
Away Clean Sheet
82% conf.
Yes
18%
No
82%
Home Clean Sheet
56% conf.
Yes
44%
No
56%
Double Chance 1X
84% conf.
Yes
84%
No
16%
Double Chance X2
58% conf.
Yes
42%
No
58%
Half-Time Result
49% conf.
Home
39%
Draw
49%
Away
13%
HT Both Teams Score
89% conf.
Yes
11%
No
89%
HT Over 0.5
55% conf.
Yes
55%
No
45%
HT Over 1.5
75% conf.
Yes
25%
No
75%
Over 1.5 Goals
72% conf.
Yes
72%
No
28%
Over 2.5 Goals
55% conf.
Yes
45%
No
55%
Over 3.5 Goals
83% conf.
Yes
17%
No
83%
Home Win to Nil
63% conf.
Yes
37%
No
63%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.