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Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Boca Juniors, at 67.7%. The other outcomes represent 32.3% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 67.7% · Draw: 21.4% · Away win: 10.8%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Boca Juniors 1948; Defensa Y Justicia 1736. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Liga Profesional Argentina · Sunday, Nov 8 2026
· 21:00
Boca Juniors
Elo 1948
vs
Defensa Y Justicia
Elo 1736
Home Form (5)
4W
1D
0L
Away Form (5)
2W
3D
0L
Elo Advantage
+213
H2H (4)
3H
0D
1A
Elo rating comparison
Boca Juniors1948
Defensa Y Justicia1736
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
3Boca Juniors
0Draws
1Defensa Y Justicia
4 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
68% conf.
Home
68%
Draw
21%
Away
11%
Both Teams to Score
59% conf.
Yes
41%
No
59%
Away Clean Sheet
83% conf.
Yes
17%
No
83%
Home Clean Sheet
53% conf.
Yes
47%
No
53%
Double Chance 1X
89% conf.
Yes
89%
No
11%
Double Chance X2
68% conf.
Yes
32%
No
68%
Half-Time Result
44% conf.
Home
44%
Draw
43%
Away
13%
HT Both Teams Score
80% conf.
Yes
20%
No
80%
HT Over 0.5
72% conf.
Yes
72%
No
28%
HT Over 1.5
70% conf.
Yes
30%
No
70%
Over 1.5 Goals
67% conf.
Yes
67%
No
33%
Over 2.5 Goals
51% conf.
Yes
49%
No
51%
Over 3.5 Goals
75% conf.
Yes
25%
No
75%
Home Win to Nil
59% conf.
Yes
41%
No
59%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
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No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.