How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Caracas FC, at 63.3%. The other outcomes represent 36.7% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 63.3% · Draw: 20% · Away win: 16.6%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Caracas FC 1645; Yaracuyanos FC 1560. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–0. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Copa Venezuela · Wednesday, Oct 7 2026
· 22:00
Caracas FC
Elo 1645
1
-
0
Yaracuyanos FC
Elo 1560
FT
HT 1-0
Home Form (5)
1W
2D
2L
Away Form (5)
3W
0D
2L
Elo Advantage
+86
H2H (3)
3H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Caracas FC1645
Yaracuyanos FC1560
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
3Caracas FC
0Draws
0Yaracuyanos FC
3 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
63% conf.
CORRECT
Home
63%
Draw
20%
Away
17%
Both Teams to Score
52% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
48%
No
52%
Away Clean Sheet
86% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
14%
No
86%
Home Clean Sheet
65% conf.
WRONG
Yes
35%
No
65%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
62% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
38%
No
62%
Half-Time Result
44% conf.
CORRECT
Home
44%
Draw
39%
Away
17%
HT Both Teams Score
76% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
24%
No
76%
HT Over 0.5
72% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
72%
No
28%
HT Over 1.5
64% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
36%
No
64%
Over 1.5 Goals
79% conf.
WRONG
Yes
79%
No
21%
Over 2.5 Goals
59% conf.
WRONG
Yes
59%
No
41%
Over 3.5 Goals
65% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
35%
No
65%
Home Win to Nil
63% conf.
WRONG
Yes
37%
No
63%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.