How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Dinamo de Puerto La Cruz, at 39.8%. The other outcomes represent 60.2% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 39.8% · Draw: 26.3% · Away win: 33.9%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Dinamo de Puerto La Cruz 1440; Bolívar 1452. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 0–2. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Copa Venezuela · Wednesday, Oct 7 2026
· 22:15
Dinamo de Puerto La Cruz
Elo 1440
0
-
2
Bolívar
Elo 1452
FT
HT 0-1
Home Form (5)
4W
0D
1L
Away Form (5)
1W
1D
3L
Elo Advantage
-11
H2H (13)
10H
0D
3A
Elo rating comparison
Dinamo de Puerto La Cruz1440
Bolívar1452
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
10Dinamo de Puerto La Cruz
0Draws
3Bolívar
13 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
40% conf.
WRONG
Home
40%
Draw
26%
Away
34%
Both Teams to Score
60% conf.
WRONG
Yes
60%
No
40%
Away Clean Sheet
77% conf.
WRONG
Yes
23%
No
77%
Home Clean Sheet
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
22%
No
78%
Double Chance 1X
60% conf.
WRONG
Yes
60%
No
40%
Double Chance X2
60% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
60%
No
40%
Half-Time Result
38% conf.
WRONG
Home
35%
Draw
38%
Away
27%
HT Both Teams Score
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
20%
No
80%
HT Over 0.5
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
No
25%
HT Over 1.5
64% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
36%
No
64%
Over 1.5 Goals
84% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
84%
No
16%
Over 2.5 Goals
60% conf.
WRONG
Yes
60%
No
40%
Over 3.5 Goals
60% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
40%
No
60%
Home Win to Nil
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
21%
No
79%
Recent results
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Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.