How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Atletico el Vigia FC, at 47.8%. The other outcomes represent 52.2% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 29.5% · Draw: 22.7% · Away win: 47.8%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Real Frontera 1253; Atletico el Vigia FC 1508. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–1. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Historical record or date different from the current schedule; it should not be presented as a verified pre-match forecast.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Copa Venezuela · Tuesday, Oct 6 2026
· 19:30
Real Frontera
Elo 1253
1
-
1
Atletico el Vigia FC
Elo 1508
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
0W
1D
4L
Away Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Elo Advantage
-254
H2H (10)
2H
0D
8A
Elo rating comparison
Real Frontera1253
Atletico el Vigia FC1508
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
2Real Frontera
0Draws
8Atletico el Vigia FC
10 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
48% conf.
WRONG
Home
30%
Draw
23%
Away
48%
Both Teams to Score
58% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
58%
No
42%
Away Clean Sheet
70% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
30%
No
70%
Home Clean Sheet
86% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
14%
No
86%
Double Chance 1X
50% conf.
WRONG
Yes
50%
No
50%
Double Chance X2
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
74%
No
26%
Half-Time Result
47% conf.
WRONG
Home
21%
Draw
31%
Away
47%
HT Both Teams Score
76% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
24%
No
76%
HT Over 0.5
80% conf.
WRONG
Yes
80%
No
20%
HT Over 1.5
52% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
48%
No
52%
Over 1.5 Goals
86% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
86%
No
14%
Over 2.5 Goals
64% conf.
WRONG
Yes
64%
No
36%
Over 3.5 Goals
54% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
46%
No
54%
Home Win to Nil
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
17%
No
83%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.