How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Trujillanos FC, at 38.1%. The other outcomes represent 61.9% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 32.2% · Draw: 29.7% · Away win: 38.1%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Urena SC 1457; Trujillanos FC 1499. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 2–2. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Copa Venezuela · Wednesday, Oct 7 2026
· 20:00
Urena SC
Elo 1457
2
-
2
Trujillanos FC
Elo 1499
FT
HT 2-2
Home Form (5)
0W
2D
3L
Away Form (5)
1W
1D
3L
Elo Advantage
-42
H2H (2)
0H
2D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Urena SC1457
Trujillanos FC1499
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Urena SC
2Draws
0Trujillanos FC
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
38% conf.
WRONG
Home
32%
Draw
30%
Away
38%
Both Teams to Score
52% conf.
WRONG
Yes
48%
No
52%
Away Clean Sheet
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
22%
No
78%
Home Clean Sheet
72% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
28%
No
72%
Double Chance 1X
64% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
64%
No
36%
Double Chance X2
64% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
64%
No
36%
Half-Time Result
41% conf.
CORRECT
Home
25%
Draw
41%
Away
34%
HT Both Teams Score
82% conf.
WRONG
Yes
18%
No
82%
HT Over 0.5
72% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
72%
No
28%
HT Over 1.5
64% conf.
WRONG
Yes
36%
No
64%
Over 1.5 Goals
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
No
25%
Over 2.5 Goals
54% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
54%
No
46%
Over 3.5 Goals
61% conf.
WRONG
Yes
39%
No
61%
Home Win to Nil
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
21%
No
79%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.