How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Forge, at 70.2%. The other outcomes represent 29.8% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 70.2% · Draw: 15% · Away win: 14.8%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Forge 1664; Pacific FC 1327. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 3–0. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #720 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Canadian Premier League · Wednesday, Oct 7 2026
· 23:00
Forge
Elo 1664
3
-
0
Pacific FC
Elo 1327
FT
HT 1-0
Home Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Away Form (5)
0W
2D
3L
Elo Advantage
+336
H2H (6)
6H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Forge1664
Pacific FC1327
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
6Forge
0Draws
0Pacific FC
6 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
70% conf.
CORRECT
Home
70%
@ 1.23
Draw
15%
@ 5.39
Away
15%
@ 9.53
Both Teams to Score
53% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
47%
No
53%
Away Clean Sheet
87% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
13%
No
87%
Home Clean Sheet
57% conf.
WRONG
Yes
43%
No
57%
Double Chance 1X
89% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
89%
@ 1.04
No
11%
Double Chance X2
72% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
28%
No
72%
Half-Time Result
60% conf.
CORRECT
Home
60%
@ 1.64
Draw
28%
@ 2.61
Away
12%
@ 7.98
HT Both Teams Score
89% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
11%
No
89%
HT Over 0.5
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
80%
@ 1.26
No
20%
HT Over 1.5
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
37%
No
63%
Over 1.5 Goals
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
83%
@ 1.15
No
17%
Over 2.5 Goals
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
63%
@ 1.54
No
37%
Over 3.5 Goals
61% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
39%
No
61%
Home Win to Nil
59% conf.
WRONG
Yes
41%
No
59%
Recent results
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Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.