How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Guadalajara Chivas U21, at 43.8%. The other outcomes represent 56.2% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 43.8% · Draw: 27.9% · Away win: 28.3%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Guadalajara Chivas U21 1540; Juarez U21 1514. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Liga MX U21 · Saturday, Oct 3 2026
· 15:00
Guadalajara Chivas U21
Elo 1540
vs
Juarez U21
Elo 1514
Home Form (5)
2W
3D
0L
Away Form (5)
1W
2D
2L
Elo Advantage
+26
H2H (5)
0H
5D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Guadalajara Chivas U211540
Juarez U211514
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Guadalajara Chivas U21
5Draws
0Juarez U21
5 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
44% conf.
Home
44%
Draw
28%
Away
28%
Both Teams to Score
52% conf.
Yes
48%
No
52%
Away Clean Sheet
77% conf.
Yes
23%
No
77%
Home Clean Sheet
61% conf.
Yes
39%
No
61%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
54% conf.
Yes
54%
No
46%
Half-Time Result
38% conf.
Home
34%
Draw
38%
Away
28%
HT Both Teams Score
80% conf.
Yes
20%
No
80%
HT Over 0.5
73% conf.
Yes
73%
No
27%
HT Over 1.5
67% conf.
Yes
33%
No
67%
Over 1.5 Goals
73% conf.
Yes
73%
No
27%
Over 2.5 Goals
55% conf.
Yes
55%
No
45%
Over 3.5 Goals
73% conf.
Yes
27%
No
73%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf.
Yes
26%
No
74%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.