How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Santa Fe, at 50.6%. The other outcomes represent 49.4% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 21.8% · Draw: 27.6% · Away win: 50.6%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Deportivo Pereira 1500; Santa Fe 1751. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Primera A · Tuesday, Sep 29 2026
· 20:30
Deportivo Pereira
Elo 1500
vs
Santa Fe
Elo 1751
Home Form (5)
1W
2D
2L
Away Form (5)
2W
2D
1L
Elo Advantage
-251
H2H (1)
0H
1D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Deportivo Pereira1500
Santa Fe1751
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Deportivo Pereira
1Draws
0Santa Fe
1 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
51% conf.
Home
22%
Draw
28%
Away
51%
Both Teams to Score
59% conf.
Yes
59%
No
41%
Away Clean Sheet
70% conf.
Yes
30%
No
70%
Home Clean Sheet
85% conf.
Yes
15%
No
85%
Double Chance 1X
50% conf.
Yes
50%
No
50%
Double Chance X2
77% conf.
Yes
77%
No
23%
Half-Time Result
43% conf.
Home
18%
Draw
43%
Away
38%
HT Both Teams Score
81% conf.
Yes
19%
No
81%
HT Over 0.5
62% conf.
Yes
62%
No
38%
HT Over 1.5
64% conf.
Yes
36%
No
64%
Over 1.5 Goals
75% conf.
Yes
75%
No
25%
Over 2.5 Goals
53% conf.
Yes
53%
No
47%
Over 3.5 Goals
69% conf.
Yes
31%
No
69%
Home Win to Nil
89% conf.
Yes
11%
No
89%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.