How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Wuxi Wugou, at 39.9%. The other outcomes represent 60.1% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 39.9% · Draw: 28.4% · Away win: 31.7%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Wuxi Wugou 1576; Ningbo Professional 1524. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–0. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #720 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
League One · Tuesday, Sep 29 2026
· 11:00
Wuxi Wugou
Elo 1576
1
-
0
Ningbo Professional
Elo 1524
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
2W
0D
3L
Away Form (5)
1W
1D
3L
Elo Advantage
+52
H2H (2)
2H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Wuxi Wugou1576
Ningbo Professional1524
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
2Wuxi Wugou
0Draws
0Ningbo Professional
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
40% conf.
CORRECT
Home
40%
@ 2.14
Draw
28%
@ 3.13
Away
32%
@ 3.16
Both Teams to Score
54% conf.
WRONG
Yes
54%
@ 1.74
No
46%
Away Clean Sheet
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
22%
No
78%
Home Clean Sheet
63% conf.
WRONG
Yes
37%
No
63%
Double Chance 1X
65% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
65%
@ 1.28
No
35%
Double Chance X2
57% conf.
WRONG
Yes
57%
@ 1.60
No
43%
Half-Time Result
55% conf.
CORRECT
Home
26%
@ 2.72
Draw
55%
@ 2.08
Away
19%
@ 3.73
HT Both Teams Score
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
17%
No
83%
HT Over 0.5
55% conf.
WRONG
Yes
55%
@ 1.39
No
45%
HT Over 1.5
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
Over 1.5 Goals
69% conf.
WRONG
Yes
69%
@ 1.30
No
31%
Over 2.5 Goals
54% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
46%
No
54%
Over 3.5 Goals
86% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
14%
No
86%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf.
WRONG
Yes
26%
No
74%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.