How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Patriotas, at 43.3%. The other outcomes represent 56.7% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 34.7% · Draw: 22% · Away win: 43.3%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Bogota FC 1300; Patriotas 1401. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Historical record or date different from the current schedule; it should not be presented as a verified pre-match forecast.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Primera B · Sunday, Oct 11 2026
· 01:15
Bogota FC
Elo 1300
vs
Patriotas
Elo 1401
Home Form (5)
1W
1D
3L
Away Form (5)
2W
0D
3L
Elo Advantage
-101
H2H (1)
1H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Bogota FC1300
Patriotas1401
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
1Bogota FC
0Draws
0Patriotas
1 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
43% conf.
Home
35%
Draw
22%
Away
43%
Both Teams to Score
54% conf.
Yes
46%
No
54%
Away Clean Sheet
66% conf.
Yes
34%
No
66%
Home Clean Sheet
73% conf.
Yes
27%
No
73%
Double Chance 1X
53% conf.
Yes
53%
No
47%
Double Chance X2
68% conf.
Yes
68%
No
32%
Half-Time Result
41% conf.
Home
26%
Draw
41%
Away
33%
HT Both Teams Score
84% conf.
Yes
16%
No
84%
HT Over 0.5
67% conf.
Yes
67%
No
33%
HT Over 1.5
70% conf.
Yes
30%
No
70%
Over 1.5 Goals
72% conf.
Yes
72%
No
28%
Over 2.5 Goals
55% conf.
Yes
45%
No
55%
Over 3.5 Goals
83% conf.
Yes
17%
No
83%
Home Win to Nil
83% conf.
Yes
17%
No
83%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.