How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Santa Clara U23, at 38.1%. The other outcomes represent 61.9% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 33.7% · Draw: 28.2% · Away win: 38.1%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: União Leiria U23 1455; Santa Clara U23 1562. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–1. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Liga Revelação U23 · Tuesday, Oct 6 2026
· 10:00
União Leiria U23
Elo 1455
1
-
1
Santa Clara U23
Elo 1562
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
3W
0D
2L
Away Form (5)
2W
2D
1L
Elo Advantage
-107
H2H (1)
0H
0D
1A
Elo rating comparison
União Leiria U231455
Santa Clara U231562
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0União Leiria U23
0Draws
1Santa Clara U23
1 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
38% conf.
WRONG
Home
34%
Draw
28%
Away
38%
Both Teams to Score
57% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
57%
No
43%
Away Clean Sheet
73% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
27%
No
73%
Home Clean Sheet
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
20%
No
80%
Double Chance 1X
54% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
54%
No
46%
Double Chance X2
66% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
66%
No
34%
Half-Time Result
41% conf.
CORRECT
Home
25%
Draw
41%
Away
35%
HT Both Teams Score
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
21%
No
79%
HT Over 0.5
76% conf.
WRONG
Yes
76%
No
24%
HT Over 1.5
67% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
33%
No
67%
Over 1.5 Goals
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
No
25%
Over 2.5 Goals
50% conf.
WRONG
Yes
50%
No
50%
Over 3.5 Goals
72% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
28%
No
72%
Home Win to Nil
89% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
11%
No
89%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.