How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Bucaramanga, at 60.0%. The other outcomes represent 40.0% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 60% · Draw: 23.1% · Away win: 16.9%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Bucaramanga 1679; Deportivo Pasto 1537. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #720 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Primera A · Saturday, Oct 31 2026
· 01:05
Bucaramanga
Elo 1679
vs
Deportivo Pasto
Elo 1537
Home Form (5)
3W
0D
2L
Away Form (5)
1W
1D
3L
Elo Advantage
+143
Elo rating comparison
Bucaramanga1679
Deportivo Pasto1537
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Bucaramanga
—Draws
—Deportivo Pasto
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
60% conf.
Home
60%
@ 1.57
Draw
23%
@ 3.65
Away
17%
@ 6.10
Both Teams to Score
54% conf.
Yes
46%
No
54%
Away Clean Sheet
86% conf.
Yes
14%
No
86%
Home Clean Sheet
55% conf.
Yes
45%
No
55%
Double Chance 1X
85% conf.
Yes
85%
@ 1.11
No
15%
Double Chance X2
64% conf.
Yes
36%
No
64%
Half-Time Result
48% conf.
Home
48%
@ 2.15
Draw
40%
@ 2.08
Away
12%
@ 6.22
HT Both Teams Score
81% conf.
Yes
19%
No
81%
HT Over 0.5
68% conf.
Yes
68%
@ 1.45
No
32%
HT Over 1.5
65% conf.
Yes
35%
No
65%
Over 1.5 Goals
74% conf.
Yes
74%
@ 1.38
No
26%
Over 2.5 Goals
54% conf.
Yes
46%
No
54%
Over 3.5 Goals
86% conf.
Yes
14%
No
86%
Home Win to Nil
59% conf.
Yes
41%
No
59%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.