How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Saburtalo, at 43.5%. The other outcomes represent 56.5% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 43.5% · Draw: 25.2% · Away win: 31.4%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Saburtalo 1894; Dinamo Tbilisi 1834. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Erovnuli Liga · Sunday, Oct 4 2026
· 15:00
Saburtalo
Elo 1894
vs
Dinamo Tbilisi
Elo 1834
Home Form (5)
4W
0D
1L
Away Form (5)
1W
2D
2L
Elo Advantage
+60
H2H (6)
2H
2D
2A
Elo rating comparison
Saburtalo1894
Dinamo Tbilisi1834
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
2Saburtalo
2Draws
2Dinamo Tbilisi
6 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
43% conf.
Home
43%
Draw
25%
Away
31%
Both Teams to Score
52% conf.
Yes
52%
No
48%
Away Clean Sheet
80% conf.
Yes
20%
No
80%
Home Clean Sheet
69% conf.
Yes
31%
No
69%
Double Chance 1X
65% conf.
Yes
65%
No
35%
Double Chance X2
57% conf.
Yes
57%
No
43%
Half-Time Result
41% conf.
Home
32%
Draw
41%
Away
26%
HT Both Teams Score
89% conf.
Yes
11%
No
89%
HT Over 0.5
67% conf.
Yes
67%
No
33%
HT Over 1.5
73% conf.
Yes
27%
No
73%
Over 1.5 Goals
75% conf.
Yes
75%
No
25%
Over 2.5 Goals
54% conf.
Yes
46%
No
54%
Over 3.5 Goals
75% conf.
Yes
25%
No
75%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf.
Yes
26%
No
74%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.