How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Minija, at 77.9%. The other outcomes represent 22.1% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 77.9% · Draw: 12.5% · Away win: 9.6%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Minija 1690; Kauno Žalgiris II 1383. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #720 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
1 Lyga · Friday, Oct 2 2026
· 14:00
Minija
Elo 1690
vs
Kauno Žalgiris II
Elo 1383
Home Form (5)
5W
0D
0L
Away Form (5)
1W
0D
4L
Elo Advantage
+306
H2H (2)
2H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Minija1690
Kauno Žalgiris II1383
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
2Minija
0Draws
0Kauno Žalgiris II
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
78% conf.
Home
78%
@ 1.12
Draw
12%
@ 6.89
Away
10%
@ 13.93
Both Teams to Score
58% conf.
Yes
42%
No
58%
Away Clean Sheet
90% conf.
Yes
10%
No
90%
Home Clean Sheet
52% conf.
Yes
52%
No
48%
Double Chance 1X
93% conf.
Yes
93%
@ 1.02
No
7%
Double Chance X2
71% conf.
Yes
29%
No
71%
Half-Time Result
55% conf.
Home
55%
@ 1.45
Draw
30%
@ 2.97
Away
16%
@ 10.44
HT Both Teams Score
82% conf.
Yes
18%
No
82%
HT Over 0.5
82% conf.
Yes
82%
@ 1.19
No
18%
HT Over 1.5
54% conf.
Yes
54%
@ 1.94
No
46%
Over 1.5 Goals
87% conf.
Yes
87%
@ 1.12
No
13%
Over 2.5 Goals
60% conf.
Yes
60%
@ 1.43
No
40%
Over 3.5 Goals
61% conf.
Yes
39%
No
61%
Home Win to Nil
50% conf.
Yes
50%
No
50%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.