How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Forfar Athletic, at 48.0%. The other outcomes represent 52.0% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 48% · Draw: 24.9% · Away win: 27.1%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Forfar Athletic 1430; Formartine United 1574. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #720 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Challenge Cup · Tuesday, Sep 29 2026
· 18:45
Forfar Athletic
Elo 1430
vs
Formartine United
Elo 1574
Home Form (5)
2W
0D
3L
Away Form (5)
4W
0D
1L
Elo Advantage
-144
Elo rating comparison
Forfar Athletic1430
Formartine United1574
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Forfar Athletic
—Draws
—Formartine United
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
48% conf.
Home
48%
@ 1.90
Draw
25%
@ 3.36
Away
27%
@ 3.53
Both Teams to Score
64% conf.
Yes
64%
@ 1.65
No
36%
Away Clean Sheet
73% conf.
Yes
27%
No
73%
Home Clean Sheet
82% conf.
Yes
18%
No
82%
Double Chance 1X
54% conf.
Yes
54%
@ 1.23
No
46%
Double Chance X2
63% conf.
Yes
63%
@ 1.74
No
37%
Half-Time Result
40% conf.
Home
27%
@ 2.47
Draw
40%
@ 2.18
Away
33%
@ 3.99
HT Both Teams Score
72% conf.
Yes
28%
No
72%
HT Over 0.5
73% conf.
Yes
73%
@ 1.33
No
27%
HT Over 1.5
64% conf.
Yes
36%
No
64%
Over 1.5 Goals
82% conf.
Yes
82%
@ 1.23
No
18%
Over 2.5 Goals
53% conf.
Yes
53%
@ 1.79
No
47%
Over 3.5 Goals
69% conf.
Yes
31%
No
69%
Home Win to Nil
83% conf.
Yes
17%
No
83%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.