How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Union Carl Berner, at 50.9%. The other outcomes represent 49.1% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 50.9% · Draw: 22% · Away win: 27%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Union Carl Berner 1503; KFUM II 1430. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
3. Division - Girone 1 · Tuesday, Sep 29 2026
· 18:15
Union Carl Berner
Elo 1503
vs
KFUM II
Elo 1430
Home Form (5)
0W
0D
5L
Away Form (5)
0W
1D
4L
Elo Advantage
+73
H2H (2)
2H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Union Carl Berner1503
KFUM II1430
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
2Union Carl Berner
0Draws
0KFUM II
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
51% conf.
Home
51%
Draw
22%
Away
27%
Both Teams to Score
65% conf.
Yes
65%
No
35%
Away Clean Sheet
87% conf.
Yes
13%
No
87%
Home Clean Sheet
68% conf.
Yes
32%
No
68%
Double Chance 1X
65% conf.
Yes
65%
No
35%
Double Chance X2
57% conf.
Yes
43%
No
57%
Half-Time Result
45% conf.
Home
45%
Draw
33%
Away
22%
HT Both Teams Score
76% conf.
Yes
24%
No
76%
HT Over 0.5
82% conf.
Yes
82%
No
18%
HT Over 1.5
55% conf.
Yes
45%
No
55%
Over 1.5 Goals
89% conf.
Yes
89%
No
11%
Over 2.5 Goals
71% conf.
Yes
71%
No
29%
Over 3.5 Goals
55% conf.
Yes
45%
No
55%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf.
Yes
26%
No
74%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.