Maldon & Tiptree vs Cray Wanderers

Non League Premier - Isthmian · Tuesday, 29 Sep 2026 · 18:45

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Statistical match analysis

In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Cray Wanderers, at 44.2%. The other outcomes represent 55.8% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.

Home win: 34.5% · Draw: 21.3% · Away win: 44.2%.

Elo strength available for this analysis: Maldon & Tiptree 1620; Cray Wanderers 1714. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.

Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.

Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.

Non League Premier - Isthmian · Tuesday, Sep 29 2026 · 18:45
Maldon & Tiptree
Elo 1620
vs
Cray Wanderers
Elo 1714
Home Form (5)
2W 0D 3L
Away Form (5)
3W 2D 0L
Elo Advantage
-94

Elo rating comparison

Maldon & Tiptree1620
Cray Wanderers1714

A measure of relative team strength before the match.

Head-to-head history

—Maldon & Tiptree
—Draws
—Cray Wanderers

0 historical meetings in the model

Predictions

14 markets
Match Result
44% conf.
Home
34%
Draw
21%
Away
44%
Both Teams to Score
64% conf.
Yes
64%
No
36%
Away Clean Sheet
77% conf.
Yes
23%
No
77%
Home Clean Sheet
85% conf.
Yes
15%
No
85%
Double Chance 1X
53% conf.
Yes
53%
No
47%
Double Chance X2
68% conf.
Yes
68%
No
32%
Half-Time Result
36% conf.
Home
30%
Draw
36%
Away
34%
HT Both Teams Score
72% conf.
Yes
28%
No
72%
HT Over 0.5
78% conf.
Yes
78%
No
22%
HT Over 1.5
52% conf.
Yes
48%
No
52%
Over 1.5 Goals
85% conf.
Yes
85%
No
15%
Over 2.5 Goals
66% conf.
Yes
66%
No
34%
Over 3.5 Goals
55% conf.
Yes
45%
No
55%
Home Win to Nil
89% conf.
Yes
11%
No
89%

How to read these predictions

Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.

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Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?

Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.

Are predictions guaranteed?

No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.

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