How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is FC Tulsa, at 40.8%. The other outcomes represent 59.2% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 40.8% · Draw: 30.1% · Away win: 29.1%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: FC Tulsa 1636; Sacramento Republic 1664. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
USL Championship · Sunday, Oct 4 2026
· 00:00
FC Tulsa
Elo 1636
vs
Sacramento Republic
Elo 1664
Home Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Away Form (5)
0W
5D
0L
Elo Advantage
-27
H2H (2)
2H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
FC Tulsa1636
Sacramento Republic1664
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
2FC Tulsa
0Draws
0Sacramento Republic
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
41% conf.
Home
41%
Draw
30%
Away
29%
Both Teams to Score
52% conf.
Yes
52%
No
48%
Away Clean Sheet
75% conf.
Yes
25%
No
75%
Home Clean Sheet
64% conf.
Yes
36%
No
64%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
60% conf.
Yes
60%
No
40%
Half-Time Result
41% conf.
Home
32%
Draw
41%
Away
28%
HT Both Teams Score
83% conf.
Yes
17%
No
83%
HT Over 0.5
74% conf.
Yes
74%
No
26%
HT Over 1.5
64% conf.
Yes
36%
No
64%
Over 1.5 Goals
78% conf.
Yes
78%
No
22%
Over 2.5 Goals
52% conf.
Yes
52%
No
48%
Over 3.5 Goals
73% conf.
Yes
27%
No
73%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf.
Yes
26%
No
74%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.