How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Raków Częstochowa, at 49.4%. The other outcomes represent 50.6% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 49.4% · Draw: 25.1% · Away win: 25.5%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Raków Częstochowa 1962; HNK Hajduk Split 2066. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 2–2. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #657 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
UEFA Europa Conference League · Thursday, Aug 27 2026
· 17:00
Raków Częstochowa
Elo 1962
2
-
3
HNK Hajduk Split
Elo 2066
AET
FT 90' 2-2
ET 2-3
HT 0-1
Predictions evaluated on 90-minute result
Home Form (5)
1W
2D
2L
Away Form (5)
3W
2D
0L
Elo Advantage
-104
H2H (1)
0H
1D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Raków Częstochowa1962
HNK Hajduk Split2066
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Raków Częstochowa
1Draws
0HNK Hajduk Split
1 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
49% conf.
WRONG
Home
49%
@ 1.92
Draw
25%
@ 3.51
Away
26%
@ 3.66
Both Teams to Score
57% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
57%
@ 1.65
No
43%
Away Clean Sheet
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
20%
No
80%
Home Clean Sheet
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
23%
No
77%
Double Chance 1X
70% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
70%
@ 1.26
No
30%
Double Chance X2
51% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
51%
@ 1.79
No
49%
Half-Time Result
40% conf.
WRONG
Home
36%
@ 2.47
Draw
40%
@ 2.21
Away
24%
@ 3.97
HT Both Teams Score
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
22%
No
78%
HT Over 0.5
72% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
72%
@ 1.34
No
28%
HT Over 1.5
61% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
39%
No
61%
Over 1.5 Goals
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
80%
@ 1.23
No
20%
Over 2.5 Goals
58% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
58%
@ 1.79
No
42%
Over 3.5 Goals
65% conf.
WRONG
Yes
35%
No
65%
Home Win to Nil
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
20%
No
80%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.