How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Riga, at 71.0%. The other outcomes represent 29.0% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 71% · Draw: 15.5% · Away win: 13.4%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Riga 2112; KI Klaksvik 1979. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 2–1. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #657 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
UEFA Europa Conference League · Thursday, Aug 27 2026
· 17:00
Riga
Elo 2112
2
-
1
KI Klaksvik
Elo 1979
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
2W
3D
0L
Away Form (5)
1W
2D
2L
Elo Advantage
+133
H2H (1)
0H
1D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Riga2112
KI Klaksvik1979
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Riga
1Draws
0KI Klaksvik
1 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
71% conf.
CORRECT
Home
71%
@ 1.38
Draw
16%
@ 4.72
Away
13%
@ 7.05
Both Teams to Score
52% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
52%
@ 1.78
No
48%
Away Clean Sheet
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
20%
No
80%
Home Clean Sheet
60% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
40%
No
60%
Double Chance 1X
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
80%
@ 1.08
No
20%
Double Chance X2
58% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
42%
No
58%
Half-Time Result
42% conf.
CORRECT
Home
39%
@ 1.81
Draw
42%
@ 2.50
Away
19%
@ 6.24
HT Both Teams Score
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
20%
No
80%
HT Over 0.5
71% conf.
WRONG
Yes
71%
@ 1.26
No
29%
HT Over 1.5
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
37%
No
63%
Over 1.5 Goals
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
74%
@ 1.16
No
26%
Over 2.5 Goals
55% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
55%
@ 1.58
No
45%
Over 3.5 Goals
65% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
35%
No
65%
Home Win to Nil
69% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
31%
No
69%
Recent results
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Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.