How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Vikingur Reykjavik, at 38.4%. The other outcomes represent 61.6% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 38% · Draw: 23.7% · Away win: 38.4%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Borac Banja Luka 2059; Vikingur Reykjavik 2016. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 3–1. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #657 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
UEFA Europa Conference League · Thursday, Aug 27 2026
· 18:30
Borac Banja Luka
Elo 2059
3
-
1
Vikingur Reykjavik
Elo 2016
FT
HT 0-1
Home Form (5)
4W
0D
1L
Away Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Elo Advantage
+43
H2H (2)
1H
0D
1A
Elo rating comparison
Borac Banja Luka2059
Vikingur Reykjavik2016
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
1Borac Banja Luka
0Draws
1Vikingur Reykjavik
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
38% conf.
WRONG
Home
38%
@ 1.98
Draw
24%
@ 3.69
Away
38%
@ 3.29
Both Teams to Score
57% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
57%
@ 1.62
No
43%
Away Clean Sheet
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
21%
No
79%
Home Clean Sheet
61% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
39%
No
61%
Double Chance 1X
76% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
76%
@ 1.30
No
24%
Double Chance X2
52% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
48%
No
52%
Half-Time Result
43% conf.
WRONG
Home
37%
@ 2.50
Draw
43%
@ 2.26
Away
20%
@ 3.72
HT Both Teams Score
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
20%
No
80%
HT Over 0.5
72% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
72%
@ 1.31
No
28%
HT Over 1.5
64% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
36%
No
64%
Over 1.5 Goals
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
77%
@ 1.20
No
23%
Over 2.5 Goals
57% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
57%
@ 1.69
No
43%
Over 3.5 Goals
64% conf.
WRONG
Yes
36%
No
64%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.