How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Hibernian, at 37.8%. The other outcomes represent 62.2% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 37.8% · Draw: 27.2% · Away win: 34.9%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Hibernian 1961; Gent 1957. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 2–3. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #643 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
UEFA Europa Conference League · Thursday, Aug 27 2026
· 19:00
Hibernian
Elo 1961
2
-
3
Gent
Elo 1957
FT
HT 0-1
Home Form (5)
3W
2D
0L
Away Form (5)
3W
2D
0L
Elo Advantage
+4
H2H (1)
0H
1D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Hibernian1961
Gent1957
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Hibernian
1Draws
0Gent
1 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
38% conf.
WRONG
Home
38%
@ 2.80
Draw
27%
@ 3.15
Away
35%
@ 2.50
Both Teams to Score
51% conf.
WRONG
Yes
49%
No
51%
Away Clean Sheet
73% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
27%
No
73%
Home Clean Sheet
69% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
31%
No
69%
Double Chance 1X
69% conf.
WRONG
Yes
69%
@ 1.48
No
31%
Double Chance X2
61% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
61%
@ 1.39
No
39%
Half-Time Result
44% conf.
WRONG
Home
30%
@ 3.44
Draw
44%
@ 1.99
Away
26%
@ 3.17
HT Both Teams Score
82% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
18%
No
82%
HT Over 0.5
70% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
70%
@ 1.47
No
30%
HT Over 1.5
66% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
34%
No
66%
Over 1.5 Goals
73% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
73%
@ 1.40
No
27%
Over 2.5 Goals
52% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
52%
@ 2.26
No
48%
Over 3.5 Goals
74% conf.
WRONG
Yes
26%
No
74%
Home Win to Nil
81% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
19%
No
81%
Recent results
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Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.