How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Larne, at 48.2%. The other outcomes represent 51.8% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 48.2% · Draw: 24.5% · Away win: 27.3%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Larne 1953; Lincoln Red Imps FC 1899. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 0–2. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #643 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
UEFA Europa Conference League · Thursday, Aug 27 2026
· 19:00
Larne
Elo 1953
0
-
3
Lincoln Red Imps FC
Elo 1899
AET
FT 90' 0-2
ET 0-3
HT 0-0
Predictions evaluated on 90-minute result
Home Form (5)
1W
3D
1L
Away Form (5)
1W
2D
2L
Elo Advantage
+54
H2H (3)
2H
0D
1A
Elo rating comparison
Larne1953
Lincoln Red Imps FC1899
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
2Larne
0Draws
1Lincoln Red Imps FC
3 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
48% conf.
WRONG
Home
48%
@ 1.98
Draw
24%
@ 3.44
Away
27%
@ 3.54
Both Teams to Score
54% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
46%
No
54%
Away Clean Sheet
76% conf.
WRONG
Yes
24%
No
76%
Home Clean Sheet
62% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
38%
No
62%
Double Chance 1X
77% conf.
WRONG
Yes
77%
@ 1.27
No
23%
Double Chance X2
52% conf.
WRONG
Yes
48%
No
52%
Half-Time Result
44% conf.
CORRECT
Home
36%
@ 2.53
Draw
44%
@ 2.13
Away
20%
@ 4.01
HT Both Teams Score
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
17%
No
83%
HT Over 0.5
71% conf.
WRONG
Yes
71%
@ 1.39
No
29%
HT Over 1.5
65% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
35%
No
65%
Over 1.5 Goals
73% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
73%
@ 1.29
No
27%
Over 2.5 Goals
53% conf.
WRONG
Yes
53%
@ 1.94
No
47%
Over 3.5 Goals
68% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
32%
No
68%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
Recent results
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Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.